I’m entering a midlife crisis. I know that I can not continue in the direction I’m going, but I’m not sure where to go next. One thing is clear: I want to make a positive impact. Here’s an exploration into my calling.
Over the past few years, I’ve gained some clarity about what’s important to me.
- Sustainability. I want my kids and their potential kids to have just as wonderful of a world as we have now.
- Freedom. I want there to be greater ability for people to pursue their interests and to choose how they live their lives.
- Common wealth: I want there to be more good things that are shared by all. We are used to having shared roads and powerlines. I think we all could benefit if we had more in common.
- Unity with the natural world. We are part of the natural world. Success for me means that all of nature is thriving
- Cooperation: I love it when people get together and work through their differences. We can do great things and solve difficult problems together!
So I want to find a way to do more to advance these aspirations. Unfortunately, when I look at the world I see problems that are taking away from these values. I want to understand these problems so that we can address them.
Our changing world
First some observations about the world we live in:
- Global energy use was 286 TWh in 1987 versus 2,476 TWh in 2024. The energy use growth rate was around 3.62% in 1987 and 2.61% in 2024.1
- Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased from 349ppm to 431ppm in my lifetime (1987-2026). Global temperatures have gone up about 1C in the same time.2
- In 1987 the CO2 concentration was increasing about 0.4% per year, and in 2024 it was increasing at around 0.6% per year.3
- The human population was 5.05 billion in 1987 and in 2023 was 8.09 billion. Global fertility rate was 3.48 live births per woman in 1987 and in 2023 was 2.5 live births per woman.4
These are well established facts, and suggest that the world is changing. There are more of us humans and collectively we are using massively more energy than we have in the past. Much of this energy is from fossil fuels and there is an associated increase in global CO2 concentrations and global temperatures. But importantly the growth rate of energy use and of human population is slowing.
There have been other things changing as well that are more difficult to measure and probably more controversial.
- The difficulty in mining, specifically the energy intensity, is increasing for minerals5 and for fossil fuels.6
- And yet there are lots more fossil fuels to burn.7
- In the 1850s, the combined biomass of wild mammals was ≈200 Mt (million tonnes). The 2025 total biomass of wild mammals was only around 60 Mt.8
- Biodiversity has been decreasing. The Living Planet Index has declined 73% from 1970.9
- On average, the poorest half of the population owns €2,900 per adult (or $4,100) and the top 10% own €550,900 (or $771,300) on average.10
- There is concentration among companies. In the early 1930s the top 1% of corporations owned 70% of assets and in 2023 the top 1% increased their share to 97% of assets.11
The connection between all of these items is growth. Energy use, population, wealth have all been increasing exponentially. It has been called the Great Acceleration.12 This growth has created amazing benefits especially for the wealth, but also comes at an increasing cost.
My take on the costs of growth
The ever increasing demands of our civilization lead to resource exploitation. Now all the easy sources of fossil fuels and minerals are being used up, so people are exploiting ever more difficult reserves and at an increasing cost to humans and to the planet. The explosive spreading of our civilization, puts pressure on the rest of the web of life. So our growth — all the farms, cities, roads, and mines — relentlessly encroaches on habitat for wildlife leading to a decrease in the collective mass of plants and animals. The disruption of ecosystems is decreasing the biodiversity worldwide. Many amazing species which have evolved over millions of years are going extinct.
This same increasing pressure is also affecting humans. Growth leads to concentration of wealth among the elite and the top companies. More complex organizations and economic structures are needed to sustain the massive human civilization. These are harnessed by those in power to enrich themselves by exploiting other humans.
The European great powers and the United States grew their power and empires through colonialism and slavery. Now that the economy has been globalized, this exploitation is happening everywhere in new ways. I see that happening now in the US. Good paying jobs are drying up. Software services are entshittifying.13 Government is being taken over by the interests of the rich. Gig economy jobs advertise flexibility and entrepreneurship, but in reality are oppressive management by algorithm. We are manipulated through surveillance and targeted ads, and our data is being used to train AI technology aimed at replacing the majority of professions. Our civilization is beginning to eat itself.
Despite these problems, it’s not easy to slow growth. People generally love growth (if not population growth, then definitely economic growth). I love it too. It’s wonderful in the beginning. Each generation has a better life than the last. With more people and more economic power, there is more science, arts, and culture.
In the US, our whole society is built on growth. We rely on growing 401k’s to retire. Our social security program is designed around many young workers providing support to relatively fewer elderly adults. In the US, we worry about “falling behind” if our economy is no longer the most powerful (although we never seem to worry about the rest of the world falling behind). So we all have an incentive to keep this growth going at all costs.
It’s a death spiral. This dependence on growth is creating a positive feedback loop that encourages this growth. We are speeding faster and faster towards widespread extinctions of wild animals and plants.
It doesn’t make sense to me. I intend to pull out of this death spiral and to contribute towards a more sustainable way of living. I have a ways to go. We are currently living an American lifestyle: two internal combustion engine cars, natural gas heating and cooking, air conditioning in the summer, consuming meat, and using smartphones and other technology devices.
Addressing concerns
Some of you might strongly disagree with the previous section. Many see growth not as the problem but as the solution. With more people and more resources available to each person, there is a greater chance of new ideas that will address the environmental problems.
This is the promise of green growth, and in a lot of ways it is happening now. We are in the midst of this turn towards clean tech: the cost of solar and wind power is getting lower and lower, there are a variety of promising new battery chemistries, and new approaches to nuclear and geothermal power are coming online. On the conservation front, scientists are tracking more and more species and finding innovative ways to protect species on the brink of extinction. Wildlife tourism can provide economic support for maintaining protected areas. And as we push up against the finite boundaries of this planet, we can reach for the stars. SpaceX is proposing a million datacenters in space, to colonize Mars, and to mine asteroids. There is the promise of almost limitless clean, solar energy in space, many of mineral resources that can be exploited, and more room for humans to grow. In this view, the future is bright.
Even more so according to this view, anything that slows this green growth is worse for the planet. If economic growth slows then life becomes hard and desperate for people, and they would be less likely to think of good ideas. We wouldn’t have the capital available to transition to clean energy or to explore outer space. We would be stuck with our current technology which has some serious environmental issues. Culturally it would be horrible because there would be nothing to look forward to. As people struggle to survive, science and the arts would lose funding leading to a decay of our collective knowledge and our culture. It’s a scenario that should be avoided at all costs.
Scenarios of the future
These are valid points, and I agree that we should avoid the scenario of economic contraction before we have gotten on the path toward sustainability. Nate Hagen in his podcast the Great Simplification, calls this scenario the Mad Max scenario.14 The environment continues to be degraded but civilization collapses. But he lays out three other scenarios, one of which we already mentioned, green growth. The scenarios are based on two dimensions, sustainability and economic growth/contraction. Here are the scenarios:
- Green Growth: growing and sustainable, good for the environment
- Mordor: growing but unsustainable, horrible for the environment
- Mad Max: declining/stabilizing but unsustainable, environment gets worse and worse
- The Great Simplification: stabilizing (after a decline) and sustainable, humanity and nature thrive together
Of these scenarios, I think it is pretty clear that we want to avoid the Mordor and the Mad Max scenarios. In some ways we have been in the Mordor scenario because our civilization has been built on entirely unsustainable fossil fuels. So there can be good that comes out of this scenario, but we don’t want to stay there.
Green Growth is wonderful, while we can sustain it. We definitely need growth in the green parts of our economy to that we can fully shift away from exploitative industries.
The Great Simplification scenario is different. Nate Hagens calls it a simplification because he believes that we have already overshot, we are using more resources than the carrying capacity of the Earth. So he believes a future sustainable civilization would use less energy and resources leading to less complexity. But despite the simpler civilization, humans in this scenario would be thriving with other life on earth and ideally would be able to continue to thrive for thousands or even millions of more years.
Growth will end
Mathematically we know exponential growth will slow at some point. In his book, Energy and Human Ambition on a Finite Planet, Thomas Murphy shows the absurdity of exponential growth continuing indefinitely at the rate it has for the last 100 years.15 He shows convincingly that thermodynamics will stop energy use growth within around 300 years and that economic growth will also stop within a century after. These limits hold even if people attempt to colonize space (barring implausible technology like hyperdrive that either breaks the laws of physics or depends on speculative exotic physics like wormholes). But growth can stop much earlier. Modern human civilization has a lot of different needs. If any of those needs are limited and an effective substitute can not be found, then growth will slow. So it is a question of when exponential growth will stop not if it will stop.
You might find this hard to believe. Humans have been so good at continually improving their technology, that it is hard to bet against growth continuing indefinitely. It’s a reasonable point. We have had 300 years of uninterrupted growth. Why should it stop?
One way to see why growth will stop is to look at the geological record. There have been many breakthroughs in evolution where a new set of species becomes dominant. These eras of rapid change always stop at new equilibria. So maybe a better question is why should this era of rapid change, continue forever when every other era of rapid change has ended?
It is important to remember that even though exponential growth will end, evolution will not end. There can be small changes over time, that could lead to a new era of rapid growth in the future. There still will be history. In terms of the scenarios above, this means that Green Growth will end and then if we are lucky then we can spend a long time in the Great Simplification scenario until the next evolutionary leap.
Now is the time to work towards a sustainable future
Given the increasing costs of growth described above and signs of overshoot, I have become convinced that it’s time to transition away from growth towards a more sustainable future. While I do want the green economy to grow so that it can displace the fossil fuel economy, I don’t want further growth (and further overshoot) after that. Instead, I want to find a way for humans to be in relationship with other life on this planet.
I asked my kids (4 and 7 years old at the time), which would you rather have:
- a big house, lots of toys, and being able to visit faraway places whenever you like in an airplane, BUT there are very few wild animals.
- OR
- you have a small house, few toys, and you take the bus to visit people, BUT there are many wild animals and a thriving wilderness
Without any hesitation, both of our boys said they would rather have a world with wild animals. That seals to deal for me. It’s not just about me, but it’s about preserving the beauty of this world for the subsequent generations.
What direction to go?
I’ve had a variety of topics that I’ve done deep dives in over the past few years. It turns out all of these fields have ideas that could help society become more sustainable.
To shift away from this unsustainable path, we need people who are not afraid to take a different approach to life. Unschooling can help.16 It’s a approach to education where kids are allowed to explore their interests with the help of caring adults. In this kind of environment, kids are shielded from the immense pressure many young people face to do well in school, go to a good university, and to get a good paying job after. So unschooled kids are more free to follow their heart to take bold action to address big problems like climate change. And it’s not just for kids, as I’ve adopted more of an unschooling mindset, I’ve realized that it’s OK to follow where I feel called to act. I wouldn’t be exploring this sustainability path without following my interests. It’s freeing.
I’d love for humans to be an integrated part of the natural ecosystem. I believe we have the potential to be a keystone species that modifies the environment in a way that encourages rich biodiversity. Permaculture is an approach to farming that could help move us in that direction. In permaculture, farmers iteratively design a sustainable ecosystem as the basis for the agricultural system. The goal is not to exploit, but to encourage a thriving ecosystem that will allow us to thrive as well. It’s reflected by the permaculture ethic of earth care, people care, and fair share.
There are issues with permaculture. It has pushed away from academic scholarship, in part as a reaction to the influence of industry in academics. However this has led to over-simplistic claims that take away from the movement.17 But the need for agriculture that is more connected with the ecology remains. I’m interested in more evidence based approaches to sustainable agriculture, but don’t know much about it yet.
Even though I think growth should end, I still would like life to get better over time. I believe we have an amazing opportunity now to expand our common wealth. Anything that can be digitized, which is so much of our modern life, has the potential to be shared widely and benefit all. The free and open source software (FOSS) movement has shown the wonderful things that can happen when people share ideas. Much of our digital world is built on these FOSS building blocks. The free culture movement is advocating for the same kinds of sharing in the wider culture. Let’s avoid things like copyrights and patents which limit participants, and instead create a culture of sharing while also encouraging attribution. The common ownership should also extend to our social networks which currently are enriching a handful of wealthy people. It would be wonderful if we could not only participate freely in these social networks but also benefit collectively from the network effects.
To realize these kinds of cultural and societal shifts, I think we will need new ways to organize society. Currently many business organizations are controlled from the top-down. This is helpful for making decisions quickly, but allows the people who control organizations to capture the benefits. This goes against the shared wealth idea. So we need organizations with distributed control, and this requires new approaches to governance. Sociocracy is a promising approach, where decisions are made by consent. To avoid consensus gridlock, areas within an organization are split into small groups, called circles, which have the authority to make decisions about their responsibilities. Not everyone gets their preferences met, but the circle works to resolve serious objections. For larger organizations, there are many circles and they are connected through double links, one person goes to the higher circle and one goes down to the lower circle. This double linking helps to ensure that there is communication from the top-down and from the bottom-up. The end result when it is working well is distributed control. An organization like this could work well in a shared wealth environment because benefits would be shared widely.
What role can I play?
I aspire to contribute to these movements that together could help society transition to a thriving world with limited growth. There are organizations that are doing this work: The Alliance for Self-Directed Education is working to expand unschooling and other forms of self-directed education, The Spritely Institute is working to make FOSS tools for a networked world, and Sociocracy for All is sharing information about sociocracy. I’m sure there are more organizations on other areas. I’m working now to explore this ecosystem and see where I can make an impact.
I’m avoiding working for organizations that are further entrenching inequality and unsustainable growth. Unfortunately, much of the economy is controlled by such organizations. But there is an opportunity here. The current economy does not seem to be working very well for most people. These alternative movements could be the change that people are hoping to see. Ironically the sustainable economy has room to grow. But its growth will be temporary and will hopefully transition into a steady, high quality of life that is broadly shared.
Do these ideas resonate with you? Let’s talk! I’m looking to find others interested in making a difference in these areas. Together we can make an impact. And if you have feedback, advice or constructive criticism I’d like to hear that too.
- Hannah Ritchie, Pablo Rosado, and Max Roser (2020) – “Energy Production and Consumption” Published online at OurWorldinData.org. Retrieved from: ‘https://archive.ourworldindata.org/20260518-093348/energy-production-consumption.html‘ [Online Resource] (archived on May 18, 2026).
- Kaitlyn Trudeau and Helen Brush, “Global Temperatures & CO2”, Climate Central, Published online at https://observablehq.com. Retrieved from: ‘https://observablehq.com/@climatecentral/global-temperatures-and-co2‘ on June 25, 2026.
- Lan, X., Tans, P. and K.W. Thoning: Trends in globally-averaged CO2 determined from NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory measurements. Version Tuesday, 05-May-2026 05:42:49 MDT https://doi.org/10.15138/9N0H-ZH07
- Max Roser (2014) – “The global decline of the fertility rate” Published online at OurWorldinData.org. Retrieved from: ‘https://archive.ourworldindata.org/20260518-095641/global-decline-fertility-rate.html‘ [Online Resource] (archived on May 18, 2026).
- Calvo, G.; Mudd, G.; Valero, A.; Valero, A. Decreasing Ore Grades in Global Metallic Mining: A Theoretical Issue or a Global Reality? Resources 2016, 5, 36. https://doi.org/10.3390/resources5040036
- Charles A.S. Hall, Jessica G. Lambert, Stephen B. Balogh, “EROI of different fuels and the implications for society”, Energy Policy, 64, 2014, Pages 141-152, ISSN 0301-4215, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.05.049.
- Kevin M. A. Parker and Michael R. Mainelli, “What happens if we ‘burn all the carbon’? carbon reserves, carbon budgets, and policy options for governments”, Environ. Sci.: Atmos., 2024, 4, 435-454. https://doi.org/10.1039/D3EA00107E
- Greenspoon, L., Ramot, N., Moran, U. et al. The global biomass of mammals since 1850. Nat Commun 16, 8338 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-63888-z
- “2024 Living Planet Report” by World Wildlife Foundation. Pdf accessed on June 25, 2026, https://www.wwf.org.uk/sites/default/files/2024-10/living-planet-report-2024.pdf.
- “WORLD INEQUALITY REPORT 2022” by World Inequality Lab. https://wir2022.wid.world/.
- Spencer Y. Kwon, Yueran Ma, and Kaspar Zimmermann, “100 Years of Rising Corporate Concentration”, WORKING PAPER · NO. 2023-20, Becker Friedman Institute. https://bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/BFI_WP_2023-20.pdf
- J. R. McNeill, Peter Engelke, The Great Acceleration, Harvard University Press, 2016. https://www.hup.harvard.edu/books/9780674545038
- Cory Doctorow, Enshittification, MacMillan, 2025. https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250417602/enshittification/
- Nate Hagen, “How to think about the future part 2”, The Great Simplification podcast, episode 139, https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/frankly-original/139-how-to-think-about-the-future-part-2.
- Murphy, Thomas W, Jr, Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet, UC San Diego 2021. https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambitions
- https://unschoolers.org/what-is-unschooling/
- Ferguson, R.S., Lovell, S.T. Permaculture for agroecology: design, movement, practice, and worldview. A review. Agron. Sustain. Dev. 34, 251–274 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13593-013-0181-6
